BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Afton East Union

Class: 8 Class Rank: 47 Conference: (2-4) Overall: (4-5) Overall Strength =   48.26

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 09/01/2006 Home    W    45.77  61   14    8   55 ( 0- 9) Russell                -1.97 *   48.97                      
  2 09/08/2006 Away    W    54.33  53   31    8   53 ( 2- 7) Moravia                 6.59     15.41                      
  3 09/15/2006 Home    W *  54.86  21   14    8   48 ( 3- 6) DM Grandview Park       7.12     -0.12                      
  4 09/22/2006 Away    L *  50.63  28   54    8   44 ( 7- 2) Murray                  2.89    -28.89                      
  5 09/29/2006 Away    W *  54.95  62   44    8   52 ( 1- 8) Mormon Trail            7.21     10.79                      
  6 10/06/2006 Home    L *  45.54  25   46    8   45 ( 7- 3) Martensdale-St Marys   -2.20    -18.80                      
  7 10/13/2006 Away    L *  46.10   0   47    8   31 (10- 1) Lenox                  -1.64 *  -45.36                      
  8 10/20/2006 Home    L    33.92  18   48    8   46 ( 7- 3) Melcher-Dallas        -13.82    -16.18                      
  9 10/27/2006 Home    L *  43.57  22   52    8   41 ( 5- 4) Lamoni                 -4.18    -25.82                      
      Averages              47.74  32.2 38.9

Best game:   54.95 = 18 point win over Garden Grove Mormon Trail
Worst game:  33.92 = 30 point loss to Melcher-Dallas
Team stdev:   6.84